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Weekly Market Recap

Financial markets went into full risk-off mode last week, with equities moving lower, the Treasury yield curve flattening, credit spreads widening, and the dollar stronger. An uptick in jobless claims suggests that omicron is having an impact on demand, while investors continue to grapple with the hard pivot in Fed policy. US large caps were […]

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Weekly Market Recap

In a move that echoed the early days of 2021, markets got off to a rough start during the first week of 2022 as rising bond yields pushed discount rates higher for all risk assets. The release of the December FOMC minutes provided a clearer window into the Fed’s current thinking on inflation risks, and […]

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Weekly Market Recap

Markets took a risk-off tone last week as investors grappled with the twin concerns of rising covid-19 case counts and an inflation-fighting Fed. As was widely expected, Fed Chair Jerome Powell announced an increase in the pace of asset purchase tapering, and the updated “dot plot” indicated that FOMC members expect 3 rate hikes by […]

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Weekly Market Recap

Last week was a strong one for risk assets as it became increasingly clear that while highly contagious, the omicron variant is very likely to cause a lower rate of serious disease and death than previous strains of the coronavirus. Most bond prices fell as the Treasury curve experienced significant bear steepening: 2y yields rose […]

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Weekly Market Recap

Risk assets were whipsawed last week by shifting sentiment around omicron and US monetarily policy. While it is increasingly clear that omicron is already widespread in the US, there is growing optimism that existing vaccines will provide protection against severe disease and death, AND that omicron may be more likely to cause milder cases of […]

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Weekly Market Recap

News of the omicron variant sent stocks tumbling on Friday, pushing all major equity indices into the red for the week. The Nasdaq was the worst performer, as concerns about rising rates had dented longer-duration growth stocks even before Friday’s move. Small and midcap stocks underperformed large caps, while international stock underperformed the US. In […]

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Weekly Market Recap

Most US equity indices finished the week slightly lower, due in large part to a higher-than-expected consumer price inflation (CPI) print for the month of October. Core inflation (ex food and energy) rose to 4.6% y/y, while headline inflation exceeded 6% for the first time since 1990. See the Chart of the Week for a […]

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Weekly Market Recap

Tapering is upon us at last. In a move that surprised no one, the US Federal Reserve announced on Wednesday that it would begin tapering its monthly purchases of Treasuries and MBS by approximately $15 billion per month, beginning immediately. Given the previous run rate of $120 billion per month, it would take 8 months […]

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Weekly Market Recap

Large cap technology stocks led the market higher last week thanks in large part to stellar earnings results from tech bellwethers like Alphabet (Google) and Microsoft. The rally pushed the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite to fresh record highs on the final day of October, with the S&P and Nasdaq both delivering a return […]

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Weekly Market Recap

News regarding the pandemic was positive last week. Covid-19 case counts continued to fall in the US and globally, and on Thursday the FDA and CDC jointly announced new recommendations that made nearly 100 million Americans immediately eligible for a vaccine booster shot. All Americans aged 65 or older that originally received a 2-course regimen […]